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03/21/08 12:52 PM
03/21/08 01:00 PM
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03/21/08 01:03 PM
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03/21/08 01:09 PM
relic52 wrote: A walk is equivalent to a single. Putting the ball in play makes things happen. But good offensive baseball is essentially about a balance. Going deeper into counts forces pitchers to make your pitch. Each pitch brings eventual fatigue and a mistake by a hitter. And a walk is better than a meaningless out. SO THERE!
No, a walk is equal to or less than a single. Think about it.
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03/21/08 01:14 PM
03/21/08 01:15 PM
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03/21/08 03:39 PM
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03/21/08 07:02 PM
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03/21/08 07:18 PM
03/21/08 10:57 PM
03/22/08 10:04 AM
jfish26101 wrote: ... which is why sabermetrics is so misleading. They take tendencies and call them facts.
Percentile RC 90 26.2 75 21.3 50 16.5 25 13.1 10 9.6
03/22/08 12:33 PM
03/22/08 01:09 PM
sposfan1 wrote: Here's an example of a statistical fact. I am the king of posting!
Yes, it can be considered to be a "fact," but only if one defines "king" merely in terms of quantity, and totally disregards considerations of quality.
03/22/08 02:18 PM
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03/22/08 02:23 PM
Administrator
03/22/08 02:33 PM
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03/22/08 08:24 PM
Sposfan, truly a legend in his own mind.
03/22/08 09:18 PM
03/22/08 09:27 PM
sposfan1 wrote: take off ya hoser!
03/22/08 09:55 PM
jfish26101 wrote: You are making assumptions
Oh, and you're not? Even with a normal distribution, in 20 at-bats, you're talking 5-6 hits (2-3 of which are for extra bases) and 14-15 outs, some number of which will be double plays, and 4-5 of which will end innings. I still see the 20 guaranteed inning-extending non-outs as more valuable than that. Now, granted if the Reds have a total scrub (say, Juan Castro) batting behind Dunn/Votto, then Dunn/Votto should perhaps be more aggressive, but if instead it's someone like Edwin Encarnacion, the chances of him driving in the run are only slightly less than Dunn/Votto's, with the added bonus of having an extra guy on base with the potential to drive in even MORE runs.
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