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Re: Ratings Questions
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timz
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12/31/09 03:55 PM
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I had a little more time just now to go back to Baseball-Reference.com and check out the baserunning data in more detail.
XBT% is expressed simply as a percentage while the OOB (Outs on Bases) is a simple count, so you can't relate the two meaningfully without additional information. Fortunately the detailed breakdown of the player's baserunning opportunities is provided so, by doing a little arithmetic, the baserunning outs can be place in context.
Let's compare Andrus and Youkilis, as both have an XBT% of 45%:
Andrus took an extra base 24 times in 53 opportunities but was thrown out on the bases 10 times (to clarify: OOB does not include times caught stealing, pick offs or force outs).
Youkilis took an extra base 30 times in 67 opportunities but was thrown out on the bases only 6 times.
This strikes me as being a huge difference. Where Youkilis was credited with 5 extra bases for every baserunning out he made, Andrus only got 2.4 extra bases per baserunning out. That sounds like a bad bargain to me.
NOTE: There's a small discrepancy (at least potentially) in that OOB includes outs made attempting to advance on a fly ball, wild pitch or passed ball while the extra bases do not include the corresponding successful advances on fly balls or mishandled pitches where another runner may have stayed put. But I doubt that represents a huge distortion of the data.
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