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Posts: 9161
12/31/09 11:35 AM
What Cheer Wombat wrote: Sure he made 3 more outs in less opportunities... Um...that's kind of a big deal. In the same amount of opportunites as Pedroia, you'd be looking at 7 more outs (actually a little over 6.5 if you don't round off). Or you could look at it this way: If given the same number of opportunites, Andrus would be thrown out over twice as often (2.3 times as often, to be exact). There are good reasons why the system treats the cost of an out as 3 times more than the advantage of taking an extra base. For one thing, a significant number of times taking an extra base turns out to be irrelevant, either because the runner would have scored anyway on a subsequent hit or because the runner just dies on 3rd instead of on 2nd when the inning ends. So sometimes the extra base helps, sometimes it doesn't--but an out always hurts.
Sure he made 3 more outs in less opportunities...
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