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unofficial official transcript from May 26th Chat thread.
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Re: unofficial official transcript from May 26th Chat thread.
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DSzymborski
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05/27/08 02:48 PM
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I have no history with Dayne Myers. I did not follow the Simnasium takeover all that specifically other than checking for DMB updates every few months and I've only posted a handful of times to this forum. I didn't even know who Dayne Myers *was* until recently.
All I can go by is what I've witnessed. I said Myers had some reasonable points, but he certainly appears to be amazingly thin-skinned to me. Looking at some of the vitriol directed at him, all I can ask is "Is that all?" He should read the reactions I got from one of my Oak Tribune articles a few years ago when I simply suggested that Bonds was unlikely to hit 35 homers in 2006. From discussing the topic with them, some of the feedback Rob Neyer and Keith Law get is amazingly awful.
I find the assignment of my motives to be kind of odd. I'm apparently doing this to get people to download my projection disk? That seems kind of an odd thing to do 3 months after the disk was current, especially when I have never advertised it outside of BTF (unless you count answering questions to be a form of advertising).
The platoon split issue which is kind of separate, but this is as good a place to address it as any. As I've said before, the reason I don't do them is that they're absolutely terrible in a bang-for-your-buck scenario. For example, as demonstrated by both Nate Silver and Andy Dolphin, a player's actual platoon splits don't become as important a predictor as generic platoon splits until 5-6000 thousand overall at-bats and is nearly worthless for as many as 2 or 3 seasons of play. And in reflection of this, it's rare for players with that many at-bats to drastically depart from generic anyway. This is in fact why I'm more interested in projection disks than seasonal replays - having single season platoon splits in an event table is a really bad idea.
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unofficial official transcript from May 26th Chat thread.
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